By Tim Evanson [CC BY-SA 2.0 (], via Wikimedia Commons

Legal Risks

This page is currently in use as providing additional content support to the Forecasting the Risks of Future Supreme Court Decisions

  • written instructions for the belief elicitation task – Legal Risks Belief Instructions ;
  • video instructions for the belief elicitation task;
  • specific text explaining the two same‐sex marriage cases whose outcome we are eliciting forecasts of – Same-Sex Marriage; and
  • written and video instructions for a task designed to elicit risk preferences from choices of risky lotteries. – Risk Instructions