Published in 2017 in Health Economics, Volume 26, Issue S3.
ABSTRACT: Behavioral responses to surveys can significantly affect inferences about population prevalence unless correctly modeled statistically. An important case study is the prevalence of nicotine dependence, a formal psychiatric disorder satisfying clinical criteria. Data from the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol… more »
Forthcoming – Philosophy and Interdisciplinary Social Science: A Dialogue
ABSTRACT: Behavioral econometrics is one part of a methodological trinity that includes theory, data collection and econometrics. Sometimes, on a good methodological day, there are few demands on the econometrician and the data can just be described and summarized, or elementary statistical… more »
ABSTRACT: Non-performance lies at the heart of much of the regulation that insurance companies face. Consumers’ concerns about non-performance of the insurance provider have also been cited as a possible explanation for low demand of microinsurance. We provide a behavioral evaluation of the welfare effects of non-performance risk.… more »
*Note that this paper was previously listed as WP 2016-02 Gambling Problems in the General Danish Population: Survey Evidence, and then was inadvertently reposted as 2017-02. Both links should direct you to this page, and should there be any newer versions, we will update this page.
Published in 2017 in Journal of Economic Methodology, Volume 24, Number 2.
ABSTRACT: Much behavioral welfare economics assumes that expected utility theory (EUT) does not accurately describe most human choice under risk. A substantial literature instead evaluates welfare consequences by taking cumulative prospect theory (CPT) as the natural default alternative, at… more »
ABSTRACT: We study how inertia and personal experiences affect individual risk taking. Our research design relies on active portfolio decisions relating to inheritances to separate the effect of personal experiences from inertia, which otherwise would be observationally equivalent. Experience derives from investments in banks that… more »
Published in 2017 in Management Science, Volume 63, Number 1.
ABSTRACT: This study investigates when forced sales of real estate turn into fire sales by using a natural experiment which allows us to separate supply and demand effects: Forced sales result from sudden death of house owners and are thus unrelated… more »
Published in 2016 in Journal of Cognition and Culture, Volume 16, Issue 5.
ABSTRACT: The Internet and social media have opened niches for political exploitation of human dispositions to hyper-alarmed states that amplify perceived threats relative to their objective probabilities of occurrence. Researchers should aim to observe the dynamic “ramping up”… more »
Published in Journal of Economic Methodology, Volume 25, Issue 1.
ABSTRACT: A principal source of interest in behavioral economics has been its advertised contributions to policies aimed at ‘nudging’ people away from allegedly natural but self-defeating behavior toward patterns of response thought more likely to improve their welfare. This has occasioned… more »
ABSTRACT: Evidence of risk aversion in laboratory settings over small stakes leads to a priori implausible levels of risk aversion over large stakes under certain assumptions. One core assumption in statements of this calibration puzzle is that small-stakes risk aversion is observed over all levels of wealth, or… more »